Welcome to the Brett Gardner (New Market 03-04) show! In Baseball America's Top Prospect list for the Yanquis, Gardner comes in at #8, up two spots from a year ago. Brett split his 2007 season between Double-A Trenton and Triple-A Scranton, and finished with a line of 281/369/378, with 39 stolen bases. BA was sufficiently impressed to name him the fastest baserunner and the hitter with the best strike-zone judgment in the system. They also listed him as the starting left fielder in the Yankees' 2010 lineup.
There has been considerable press about Gardner being as hot a prospect as the Red Sox's Jacoby Ellsbury; most media outlets feel like that comparison is a stretch, but there is an undeniable buzz around Brett. Therefore, there were three questions that mentioned him in John Manuel's chat:
"Q: Abedin from Utica, NY asks: I'm really high on Dan McCutchen; I think he's underrated by most. Then again, I'm probably his biggest fan. What kept him from the top 10 over, say, Brett Gardner?
A: John Manuel: Everyone seems to think McCutchen's stuff will play up as a setup man, and that he's fairly average stuff, plus compete, good command as a starter, kind of a poor man's Ian Kennedy. He throws harder and has sharper stuff in relief (touches 94 mph with FB, which he rarely does as a starter according to the Yanks), and I think that's his future role, whereas Gardner's ceiling is as a Juan Pierre who walks CF. That ceiling is higher to me, and Gardner's probability of reaching that ceiling also is higher. Gardner's a year younger and a year ahead in terms of development, with a better health record. Several reasons to rank Gardner higher."
This is the first I've heard this comparison- Juan Pierre (another Valley Leaguer, by the way) who walks!
"Q: Dean from San Francisco asks: Your projected 2011 outfield lineup of Gardner, Jackson and Tabata seems very week in the power category. I'm especially surprised that you would include Gardner over Melky Cabera. What are the odds that this lineup will ever occur?
A: John Manuel: Well, Melky doesn't hit for a ton of power, and in fact when Matsui didn't play, Cabrera, Damon and Abreu, that's not a power plant. Tabata wouldn't rank so highly if people didn't think he would eventually hit for power, and he did what he did with a bad hand-slash-wrist this year. Jackson projects to hit for average power as he goes on as well. Chances of that lineup? Very small, because the Yankees don't have to rely only on homegrown players. Point of the future lineup is to reveal strengths and weaknesses of the org, and one Yankees weakness as an org is—you guessed it—lack of power prospects. Very few in full-season ball, really."
Ok- so what are the odds that Gardner is still in the Yankees' organization in 2010? Probably pretty slim,
I would guess.
"Q: Jimmy from Da Bronx asks: It seems to me brett gardener would fit the yankee lineup perfectly as a bottom of the order hitter. I feel like brett gets hated on for his lack of power but he is what he is, no one ever expected him to hit 15+ homers. Seems like the big league club could use more brett gardeners. Thoughts?
A: John Manuel: Gardner would have to beat out Melky Cabrera but I think I like Gardner's ceiling better. I haven't seen Cabrera ever touted as a guy who would develop power and he has yet to slug over .400 in two big league seasons; it was a .432 slugging percentage in the minors, pretty similar if I recall to Jacoby Ellsbury, only he's not the defender Ellsbury is, nor the basestealer. Melky brings energy but to me, Gardner's ceiling is higher and he's also an energy guy. So I'm with you, as long as Gardner hits with enough authority to keep pitchers honest. If he doesn't, then he's Jason Tyner."
Maybe Brett is a gardener, but... Heh. I'm wishing that I had a memory of Brett playing for the Rebels- we had just moved back to the States in late June of '04, and while I watched a couple games, my memories are pretty slim. (I remember Tim Norton (New Market) and Nick Pereira (Harrisonburg) for sure.)
At any rate, Brett should make his major league debut at some point in 2008. ATVL will be there (in spirit only, probably) when he does!